I think Rossi is 12 points down. There's 2 races left and he's going to let it all hang out. It's his title again -- I think the point breakdown is 25 for 1st, 20 for second, 16 for third...etc. So he can make up the deficit pretty easy.
Nicky Hayden is a hell of a guy. I had the chance to ride little XR100 dirt bikes with him a few years ago before he was super-famous. His ability to control a sliding motorcycle is incredible. He has the raw talent to make a motorcycle go fast, but at the top level you need more.
Any rider on the MotoGP grid has the talent to win when his bike is set up perfectly, but the bikes are never set up perfectly. The big difference between Rossi and everybody else is that he is always fast, every weekend. The Yamaha has setup problems like every other bike, but you never hear him #$%*ing. Look at Colin Edwards, rides the same factory bike as Rossi, but he's down around 8th or 10th every week.
Rossi's crew may not give him the best bike every race, but he has the ability to ride around whatever problem he is having. That's why he is the man to beat and has been all of his career. Nicky may get to that point, but he doesn't have the raw talent Rossi has. The only other rider I've seen like Rossi was the Australian Anthony Gobert. He could win on inferior equpment, he could win in the rain, he could win when he was 30lbs overweight. It all looked effortless. It's a shame he liked to smoke weed more than he wanted to be a world champion.