im sure that you know how to figure this alot better then i do but how did you come up with that?
me on a stocker did and indicated 65-70. thats about 13hp. im figuring the new motor to be in the 19 range. add gears, lightness(i dont think the bike can lose 50lb) and a fairing and i thought i would be close
They only made about 8~9bhp at the wheel.
Best modified XR200 I've seen made 23.8bhp@ 12,500 (then the rod broke, Wiseco piston is a lot heavier than stock)
19 from a 125 is probably asking a bit much, even if you rev it to 15,000.(may be possible with lighter piston though)
I think about 15~16 will be realistic (but I would be interested if you get more)
KTM 125 MX ( two stroke) puts out about 34 bhp on same dyno
You should be able to shed at least 35~40 lbs from bike, lights, mudguards, small seat and tank, lighter exhaust, cut of any brackets you don't need etc
You want to cut those bars down to the narrowest width you can mange (about 2" narrower than your shoulders overall width) and slide forks up a bit (or cut springs down, you only need an inch or two suspension both ends)
Make up some rearsets and hang them off swing arm pivot, then you can get rid of huge heavy brake pedal.
Look for some moped wheels,(or S90?) narrower tyres will have less rolling resistance (and use narrower drive chain)
watch 'Worlds Fastest Indian' again, low and narrow
It doesn't have to be street legal does it?
PJ