All programs like this can do is make people feel a little better now. I can't prove it in advance but I'm pretty sure we'll find they just cannibalize sales from the future.
That's the whole point. Doing what we can to give the economy a jump-start now, because now is when we need it. If it does have an effect on future vehicle sales it will be spread out over a much longer period of time than this program ran for, and won't cause any harm.
And as far as just making people feel better, that's also part of the point. People's perception of how the economy is doing has as much as, if not more, to do with the state the economy is in than most other factors.
Sorry I must wholeheartedly disagree. Industries need to tie their production to a realistic analysis of demand, not to a trumped up artificial demand.
People feeling good is what got us here at least partially. When people feel good, they buy stuff they don't need with money they don't have (this goes for governments, and businesses as well, there is blame all around).
There is no value in jumpstarting an economy or an industry which has outlived its usefullness. The incompetents must be allowed to fail so the competent can surface. Giving capital to people who make bad decisions (those who bot the clunkers in the first place) is bad policy. We should reward those who make good decisions. Where's the stimulus money for people who didn't go into debt buying crap like clunkers? THEY should be getting rewarded, not the dummies. Then maybe the dummies will learn to do better.
This economy will not revive until people feel REALLY bad, they pay off their debts, they save money for real, they work hard and appreciate the fact they have a job and are SCARED they might lose it. In short, a revival of the economy of the last 20 years is a big mistake.
A truly healthy economy runs on sound fundamentals, not feelings. This administrations emphasis on the "revival of credit" is hugely misplaced. IF we are to survive this god awful mess, it will be with money in the bank, a puritan work ethic, a turning back of the sense we are entitled to things, like healthcare, and freedom, that others must provide, and replaced with the sense that we must earn them, daily, ourselves.