Author Topic: So it's global warming is it ?  (Read 13011 times)

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Offline sangyo soichiro

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #50 on: January 13, 2010, 04:09:20 PM »




 ;D
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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #51 on: January 13, 2010, 04:25:39 PM »
well, I was going to chime in when I read the asinine global deforestation #$%*e but I think I'll just keep my
opinions to myself.

Thanks Sam, open a can of worms and then run off to the pub did you. I hope you spill your Newcastle.  ;)

Offline paulages

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #52 on: January 13, 2010, 04:49:36 PM »
well, I was going to chime in when I read the asinine global deforestation #$%*e but I think I'll just keep my
opinions to myself.

Thanks Sam, open a can of worms and then run off to the pub did you. I hope you spill your Newcastle.  ;)

asinine?

you think that's a myth too? here's a 5th grade level example:

the Himalayan ice cap is melting. the cause isn't a mystery (and no, it's not global warming per se)... massive deforestation and grazing on the chinese foothills has caused flooding and mudslides downhill as the forest is no longer there to absorb the precipitation. since the water is flowing out to the ocean instead of re-cycling into the atmosphere and recharging the ice cap, it is shrinking. in other words, more goes out than comes back in.

mark- referring to deforestation, by the way, isn't a strawman argument as forests play a large part on the whole oxygen/CO2 cycle on the planet. all i was trying to say is that even if there is evidence to question the popular scientific opinion, it seems more of a stretch to try and prove that all of this pollution is doing nothing, considering how delicate the balance is that allows us to exist here.

i'll agree that "green technology" is largely a huge relatively worthless bandaid. however,  forming opinions based on reaction ("you can't tell me what to do!"...e.g.) can bring strange bedfellows and is wholly exploited by the people who truly stand to benefit from the status quo.
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Rocking-M

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #53 on: January 13, 2010, 04:52:58 PM »
well let me just give you a personal fact here in Floyd county, deforested in the 30's and now a hell of
a lot of forest. Take your pick in the uS and you'll find the same. Trees grow back. Now back to your tree hugging.

Offline mlinder

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #54 on: January 13, 2010, 05:06:30 PM »
But Paul, you are saying "impact" = "global climate change".

Your argument is that if we don't believe in human-created global climate change, we don't believe in our negative impact on the earth, and if we don't belive in our impact on the earth, we are idiots.
Therefore, if we don't believe in human-created global climate change, we are idiots.

The strawman argument goes like this:

Bob: "I don't believe in global climate change"

Stan: "How can you not believe we are affecting the earth negatively?"

Bob: "I believe we are affecting the earth negatively."

Stan: "Then you know we are causing global climate change."

See, this assumes that global climate change is in fact one of the negative effects we have on our environment.
When, to my mind, it is NOT.
However, that does not mean I don't believe that something needs to be done about the PROVEN, QUANTIFIABLE, and DEMONSTRABLE things that impact our environment negatively.

The reason I am SO against the global climate change regime is because there is no real reason to believe we are affecting our climate. These resources and man hours and everything else that go to the drama of global climate change could be put towards things that ARE PROVEN to be issues, and we'd have quantifiable results. It's almsot like the picked the least provable thing to use because they knew no one could prove reasonably one way or the other, therefore it's an infinite money sink.
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Offline mlinder

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #55 on: January 13, 2010, 05:07:41 PM »
I'm not sure derogatory remarks towards one another are a very constructive way to share data and ideas.

That's just me, though.
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Offline sangyo soichiro

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #56 on: January 13, 2010, 05:10:59 PM »
...considering how delicate the balance is that allows us to exist here.

Bingo!  I think most people don't realize how difficult is it for life, especially intelligent life, to exist in the universe.  There is a hell of a lot of things that have to be just so in order for us to exist.  I personally think that intelligent life is not very common in the universe.  The conditions on most planets are likely to be too harsh.  If anyone's interested in this subject, there's a good book called Rare Earth - Why Complex Life is Uncommon in the Universe.
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Offline BeSeeingYou

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #57 on: January 13, 2010, 05:20:12 PM »
Ha ha, I just love that the folk who advocate the existance of "Global Climate Change" label anyone who question the GCC theory "Deny-ers", or "skeptics", (or "idiots"...........) like being skeptical of an unproven theory is a bad thing?

It reminds me of a story an old German guy told me about a confrontation that he had with some local Nazi's when he refused to attend one of Hitler's rallies in Nuremberg in the late 1930's. When a young Thomas told them that he didn't agree with most of Hitler's theories about racial superiority, nation building through ethnic cleansing etc, he was labelled an "idiot" and given a beating for his trouble. When he turned up for work the next day he was fired, after the same Nazi's had a quiet word with his boss, who admitted to Thomas that he didn't believe in Nazism either, but didn't want any trouble.

I look at some of the big protest rallies currently held around the world (most notably at the recent Copenhagen climate change summit) and I'm reminded of the early 1930's Nazi rallies, and I wonder how long it will be before we have government approved "Eco-Nazis" patrolling our streets and invading our homes to inspect our recycling efforts, checking the operation of our solar hot water systems and confirming that we don't leave any appliances left on "stand by", while carting away our gas guzzling "idiot mobiles" for mandatory recycling into batteries for our more eco-friendly modes of transportation.............  :P  

 Only a matter of time for Godwin's Law of Nazi Analogies to come into affect, Ha ha you lose. ;D
« Last Edit: January 13, 2010, 05:45:03 PM by srust58 »

Offline Inigo Montoya

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #58 on: January 13, 2010, 05:22:49 PM »
Trees take a lot longer to grow back then to cut down though. Plant a tree in your front yard and see how many years it takes before it can be turned into a 2x4. Now that is years as opposed to a few seconds to cut it down.
Also, who replanted the area? In most cases it is a govt effort of some sort on some level.

Anyways, I too find the strawman claim pretty questionable on deforestation. If you need any proof of it besides the Himalayan ice cap, look at the amazon rain forests. They have shrunk by an incredible amount. Efforts are in place to stop it but even so, it will take decades for the damage to reverse.
As for the global warming debate, who knows. All the gasses pumped into the air by coal power plants that everyone loves so much, after all, fly ash is only completely toxic; may have just ALTERED the climate change. I am not saying made it better or worse, just that it MAY be changing when and how it happens.

That statement though made about a person looking to compromise being an extremist is just a call to maintain the status as it is. Unfortunately unless people do change their habits and thinking on maintaining the current status, we will most likely be forced into a change. Once our resources really start to run out, we will either change or perish. Unless of course some "miracle" invention comes. I understand that people do not want to change and should not really be forced to by government, but they should realize that this world is not about just them. Their kids grandkids will inherit the mess left behind.

Offline Terry in Australia

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #59 on: January 13, 2010, 05:27:58 PM »
Hey does having long grass help the environment fellas? My wife is nagging me to mow the bloody lawn, but I want to go for a ride?

Let me know quick, she didn't fall for the "I think I'm having a heart attack and I need to get to hospital as quickly, but efficiently as possible" routine, so I need a little help?  ;D
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Offline mlinder

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #60 on: January 13, 2010, 05:29:19 PM »
Trees take a lot longer to grow back then to cut down though. Plant a tree in your front yard and see how many years it takes before it can be turned into a 2x4. Now that is years as opposed to a few seconds to cut it down.
Also, who replanted the area? In most cases it is a govt effort of some sort on some level.

Anyways, I too find the strawman claim pretty questionable on deforestation. If you need any proof of it besides the Himalayan ice cap, look at the amazon rain forests. They have shrunk by an incredible amount. Efforts are in place to stop it but even so, it will take decades for the damage to reverse.
As for the global warming debate, who knows. All the gasses pumped into the air by coal power plants that everyone loves so much, after all, fly ash is only completely toxic; may have just ALTERED the climate change. I am not saying made it better or worse, just that it MAY be changing when and how it happens.

That statement though made about a person looking to compromise being an extremist is just a call to maintain the status as it is. Unfortunately unless people do change their habits and thinking on maintaining the current status, we will most likely be forced into a change. Once our resources really start to run out, we will either change or perish. Unless of course some "miracle" invention comes. I understand that people do not want to change and should not really be forced to by government, but they should realize that this world is not about just them. Their kids grandkids will inherit the mess left behind.


Wrong.

Why? Because human causation of GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE is completely UNPROVEN. Not an article of irrefutable fact supports it. Therefore, if human caused global climate change cannot be proven, then certainly the chopping down of trees cannot be proven to cause it. This is simple, basic, base logic.
Does deforestation happen? Hells yeah. Is it kinda screwed up? I happen to think so.
How can it cause something that isn't happening, though?
This is the strawman argument.

If you think deforestation is happening, then you must believe in global climate change.
Jesus. This 'logic' is just absurd.
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Offline Inigo Montoya

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #61 on: January 13, 2010, 05:33:44 PM »
Quote
Wrong.

Why? Because human causation of GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE is completely UNPROVEN. Not an article of irrefutable fact supports it. Therefore, if human caused global climate change cannot be proven, then certainly the chopping down of trees cannot be proven to cause it. This is simple, basic, base logic.
Does deforestation happen? Hells yeah. Is it kinda screwed up? I happen to think so.
How can it cause something that isn't happening, though?
This is the strawman argument.

If you think deforestation is happening, then you must believe in global climate change.
Jesus. This 'logic' is just absurd.
First off, it is only absurd to YOU.
Global warming is NOT proven OR disproven. I never said it HAS been changed, just that it MAY have been. You are so stuck into reading what you want(and you say you don't read between the lines, yeah you just see what you want)  think you are the one making up the strawman arguments. You have used it on any argument not in line with your opinion. That does not make what some has said a strawman.
If you bothered to comprehend what people write, you would realize that I was stating an opinion, NOT facts about global warming. You just have this desire to be defensive I think.

Offline mlinder

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #62 on: January 13, 2010, 05:39:00 PM »
I don't think you understand what a strawman argument is.

This thread was about global warming.

Pauls post was about negative human impact on the environment.

Believing in the second does not require you to believe in the first.

The way the statement was made, however, uses the truth of the second statement to push through the truth (which is not truth) of the first statement.
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Offline Inigo Montoya

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #63 on: January 13, 2010, 05:42:57 PM »
And in no way have I disagreed with you on mans impact on global warming, at least not much. You seem to think that since it cant be proven, it is not happening. I choose to believe it can't be proven one way or the other.
Otherwise, we both seem to believe that humans need to cut their waste and impact for environmental reasons.
However, I see where he comes from. Given the amount of waste pumped into the air, it is entirely conceivable that the climate is being impacted, just that we do not have the scientific tools to truly come to a conclusion.

Offline mlinder

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #64 on: January 13, 2010, 05:45:45 PM »
But wouldn't it make more sense to put those resources towards proven environmental issues?
And again, intended or not, it was a strawman argument.
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Offline Terry in Australia

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #65 on: January 13, 2010, 05:46:29 PM »
Yeah yeah, warming/schwarming, what about my GRASS?  ???
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Offline Inigo Montoya

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #66 on: January 13, 2010, 05:49:07 PM »
Terry, you are stuck. Mow the damn lawn! It only gets taller, I know, I tried it. :D

Offline Inigo Montoya

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #67 on: January 13, 2010, 05:53:13 PM »
Again, it is only a strawman in your opinion. That is ANY of us are saying here anyways. I suppose someone here might work for a climatology research center but I am pretty sure it is none of us here debating this right now.

So sinec you have not factual proof to support your stance, I could claim you are using a strawman argument but I wont as that is just the easy way out. It is a way of just trying to make your self look better why degrading the other persons platform.

I mean, now IF you could get proof that was backed by more than just one side of the debate, that would be different. As I doubt such proof exists where we could get OUR hands on it, it becomes just an opinion based on what you personally believe. Kinda like an oil thread.

Offline w1sa

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #68 on: January 13, 2010, 05:56:15 PM »
Yeah yeah, warming/schwarming, what about my GRASS?  ???
I read an article a long time ago that suggested that a healthy long/thick  crop of urban lawn definitely contributed to the quality of air.
If you mow the lawn you reduce the quality of air maintenance and also increase your carbon footprint (burn fossil fuel).

At least riding the bike and leaving the grass alone should  increase your chances for a 'carbon neutral' day! :)

Offline TwoTired

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #69 on: January 13, 2010, 05:57:24 PM »
Yeah yeah, warming/schwarming, what about my GRASS?  ???
Don't your sheep eat grass?

Or, are you having difficulty steering them around the yard again?
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Offline mlinder

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #70 on: January 13, 2010, 06:53:12 PM »
Again, it is only a strawman in your opinion. That is ANY of us are saying here anyways. I suppose someone here might work for a climatology research center but I am pretty sure it is none of us here debating this right now.

So sinec you have not factual proof to support your stance, I could claim you are using a strawman argument but I wont as that is just the easy way out. It is a way of just trying to make your self look better why degrading the other persons platform.

I mean, now IF you could get proof that was backed by more than just one side of the debate, that would be different. As I doubt such proof exists where we could get OUR hands on it, it becomes just an opinion based on what you personally believe. Kinda like an oil thread.

Duders, you need proof to prove somethign is happening, not proof to prove something is not happening.

I can't prove unicorns don't exist. That doesn't mean they do.

Try this argument out: The Polar Ice cap is melting. Therefore climate change is a man made phenomenon.
That's what you guys are saying. This logic could not be more flawed.

I still am pretty sure you don't know what a strawman argument is. Also, whether something is a strawman argument or not is not up for debate. It's not an opinion. It's liek haveing an opinion of what atoms make up air molecules....

I've done a fair bit of research on my own looking for answers. My answers have pointed me to fixing other problems, which I do my best to follow. This includes waste reduction
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Offline Retro Rocket

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #71 on: January 13, 2010, 07:08:37 PM »
Quote
Dudes, you need proof to prove something is happening, not proof to prove something is not happening.

Sorry Mlinder i had to spell check that quote, didn't know what a duder was.... ;D

Well all i can say is that there are more scientists saying that there is change or at least something happening so wouldn't that mean that someone else has to disprove this theory if they disagree...?
Its not happening because..............


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Offline Frostyboy

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #72 on: January 13, 2010, 07:26:56 PM »
Okay, I'm not sure what topic we're covering here anymore. Is it the fact that climate is changing, or is it the fact we are responsible for it?
Wasn't there an ice age centuries ago? Doesn't that mean the planet has been warming by itself ever since? Suddenly are we to believe that it's CO2 is the culprit? Don't get me wrong, I fully support recycling & improving efficiency of anything we can to make our planet a cleaner place, but allocating millions of $ to carbon trading only seems to me as a scheme to make money for some very select groups or individuals.
Below is an article doing the rounds on email at present. It has to do with Australia's contribution to the level of CO2. Just my 2c worth. I haven't checked the sums he presents, but I'm sure someone here will check the numbers.

"REAL EMISSIONS DATA FROM RETIRED POWER WORKER.
T.L. Cardwell
I should clarify. I spent 25 years in the Electricity Commission of NSW working, commissioning and operating the various power units. My last was the 4 X 350 MW Munmorah Power Station, near Newcastle. I would be pleased to supply you any information you may require.

I have sat by for a number of years frustrated at the rubbish being put forth about carbon dioxide emissions, thermal coal fired power stations and renewable energy and the ridiculous Emissions Trading Scheme. Frustration at the lies told (particularly during the election) about global pollution.

Let me use Power Station cooling towers for an example. The condensation coming from those cooling towers is as pure as what comes out of any kettle.  Frustration about the so called incorrectly named man made 'carbon emissions' (which of course is Carbon Dioxide emissions) and what it is supposedly doing to our planet.  Frustration about the lies told about renewable energy and the deliberate distortion of benefit from renewable energy and its ability to replace fossil fuel energy generation. Frustration at the ridiculous carbon credit programme which is beyond comprehension. But, further frustration at some members of the public who have not got a clue about thermal Power Stations or Renewable Energy, yet who go on quoting ridiculous figures about something which, they clearly have little or no knowledge.

First; coal fired power stations do NOT send 60 to 70% of the energy up the chimney. The boilers of modern power station are 96% efficient and the exhaust heat is captured by the ‘economisers’ and ‘pre-heaters’ which pre-heat the air and water going into the boilers. The very slight amount exiting the stack is moist as in condensation and CO2. There is virtually no fly ash because this is removed by the ‘precipitators’ and/or ‘bagging plant’ which are 99.98% efficient. The 4% heat lost, is through boiler wall convection. Coal fired Power Stations are highly efficient with very little heat loss and can generate massive amount of energy for our needs. They can generate power at an efficiency of less than 10,000 b.t.u. per kilowatt and cost-wise, this is very low. The percentage cost of mining and freight is very low. The total cost of fuel is 8% of total generation cost and does NOT constitute a major production cost.

As for being laughed out of the country, China is building multitudes of coal fired power stations because they are the most efficient for bulk power generation.

We have (like the USA), coal fired power stations because we HAVE the raw materials and are VERY fortunate to have them. Believe me no one is laughing at Australia - exactly the reverse, they are very envious of our raw materials and independence.

The major percentage of power in Europe and U.K. is nuclear because they don't have the coal supply for the future.

Yes it would be very nice to have clean, quiet, cheap energy in bulk supply. Everyone agrees it would be ideal. You don't have to be a genius to work it out. But there is only one problem---It doesn't exist.

Yes - there are wind and solar generators being built all over the world but they only add a small amount to the overall power demand. The maximum size wind generator is 3 Megawatts, which can rarely be attained on a continuous basis because it requires substantial forces of wind and for the same reason, they only generate when there is sufficient wind to drive them. This of course depends where they are located but usually they only run for 45% -65% of the time, mostly well below maximum capacity. They cannot be relied on for a 'base load' because they are too variable and they certainly could not be used for load control.

The peak load demand for electricity in Australia is approximately 50,000 Megawatts and only a small part of this comes from the Snowy Hydro Electric System (The ultimate power Generation) because it is only available when water is there from snow melt or rain. Yes, they can pump it back but it costs to do so. (Long Story).

Tasmania is very fortunate, they have mostly hydro electric generation because of their high amounts of snow and rainfall. They also have wind generators (located in the roaring forties) but these provide only a small amount of total power generated.

Based on an average generating output of 1.5 megawatts (of unreliable power) you would require over 33,300 wind generators. As for solar power generation much research has been done over the decades and there are two types. Solar thermal generation and Solar Electric generation but in each case, they cannot generate large amounts of electricity.

Any clean, cheap energy is obviously welcomed but they would, NEVER have the capability of replacing Thermal power generation. So get your heads out of the clouds, do some basic mathematics and look at the facts not going off with the fairies (or some would say the extreme greenies). We are all greenies in one form or another and care very much about our planet. The difference is, most of us are realistic, not in some idyllic utopia where everything can be made perfect by standing around holding a banner and being a general pain in the backside. Here are some facts which will show how ridiculous this financial madness the government is following is. Do the simple maths and see for yourselves. According to the 'believers' the CO2 in air has risen from .034% to .038% in air over the last 50 years. To put the percentage of Carbon Dioxide in air in a clearer perspective; If you had a room 12 ft x 12 ft x 7 ft or 3.7 mtrs x 3.7 mtrs x 2.1 mtrs, the space which carbon dioxide would occupy in that room would be .25m x .25m x .17m or the size of a large packet of cereal.

Australia emits 1 percent of the world's total carbon Dioxide and the government wants to reduce this by twenty percent or reduce emissions by .2 percent of the world's total CO2 emissions. What effect will this have on existing CO2 levels?

By their own figures they state the CO2 in air has risen from .034% to .038% in 50 years. Assuming this is correct, the world CO2 has increased in 50 years by .004 percent. Per year, which is .004 divided by 50 = .00008 percent. (Getting confusing -but stay with me). Of that, because we only contribute 1%, our emissions would cause CO2 to rise .00008 divided by 100 = .0000008 percent. Of that 1% which we supposedly emit, the governments wants to reduce it by 20%  which is 1/5th of .0000008  = .00000016 percent as the effect per year they would have on the world CO2 emissions based on their own figures. Which would equate to an area in the same room, about the size of a small pin.!!!  For this, they have gone crazy with the ridiculous trading schemes, Solar and roofing insulation, Clean coal technology. Renewable energy, etc, etc.

How ridiculous! The cost to the general public and industry will be enormous. It will cripple and even close some smaller business.

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Offline Inigo Montoya

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #73 on: January 13, 2010, 07:31:27 PM »
That is kinda my point Mick. being that there is 2 sides to this, it is up to both sides to prove their theories. So this IS something that must be disproven. After all, it is easy to come to the comclusion that all these chemicals could potentially be causing climate change. It does not 100% mean it is happening but it is up to both sides to either prove it or disprove it. I would call that good science in action no matter which side won the debate with actual proof.

Offline kslrr

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Re: So it's global warming is it ?
« Reply #74 on: January 13, 2010, 07:43:38 PM »
Thank you for that information Frostyboy.  It's amazing how so many are up in arms about that pin sized CO2 cloud.  An emotional cause has much draw power.
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